From horses to cars: change is hard, standing still is harder
In 1900, the streets of New York and London were dominated by horses. Little more than a decade later, they were dominated by cars. We remember it as a technology story. It is really a story about people, and about how quickly "the way we have always done it" stops being true.
The trades that went were real. Farriers, grooms, stable hands, harness makers, carriage builders — skilled work, often handed down through families. Those people were not wrong to be worried, and it would have been easy to argue the change should slow down.
What is hard to see from inside the moment is what comes next. Mechanics, drivers, road engineers, fuel distribution, manufacturing, logistics — entire categories of work nobody in 1900 could have described, most of it safer, better paid and less brutal than what it replaced.
Global mobility is in the same position now.
A large share of what mobility teams do each day is manual: rekeying data between systems, chasing documents, preparing filings, checking a certificate arrived. It is necessary work, and it is going to be automated — not because anyone wants to remove people, but because the technology already exists and the economics are not subtle.
The instinct to defend the current process is human. Change is hard. But standing still is harder: slower, more expensive, and it delivers you to the same destination with less control over how you arrive.
The better question is not whether the manual work survives. It is what your team does with the time it gets back. Policy design. Advising the business on where to deploy talent. Managing cost and risk before they bite. Looking after people at a genuinely stressful moment in their lives. That work is not going anywhere — and there is nowhere near enough time being spent on it today.
Nobody is nostalgic for the stables. The opportunity is to be the profession that drove the change, rather than the one it happened to.




